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2024-12-13 04:51:30

In fact, I have been releasing water on the expectation before, but I really haven't waited yet, and the RRR cut in the fourth quarter is still missing. The contents of this meeting were clearly defined, and the monetary policy changed from prudent to moderately loose. Coupled with the proactive fiscal policy, I can only remind you that there is no bear market in easing. Next year is still a big bull market, please don't stay away from the market and cherish the rare opportunity to turn over!Because the technical side still faces the same problem on November 8, that is, once the closing price is higher than 3489.78, it will face the technical suppression of daily deviation. Therefore, we should make two preparations: First, we should accelerate directly and digest the technical deviation here. However, this process may be very long. After all, the index has not fallen much, but the MACD indicator is far from the peak, which is difficult to digest easily.


In terms of sectors, biomedicine led the rise at the beginning, while AI application was dominated by high opening and shock, but in the end, robots turned weak and strong. In terms of sectors, today's traditional industries are basically turning red, but the real estate, photovoltaics, semiconductors and consumption directions have collectively declined. It seems that the CPI data in November continues to decline, and the lethality is still great.In terms of the performance of individual stocks and sectors, there are two main reasons for today's surge: First, the CPI data is less than expected, and the weak economic recovery has not changed; Second, the mysterious funds have rested again, only to protect the footwall when they fell sharply in the afternoon. Fortunately, the market shrinkage consolidation has not changed the short-term upward trend. Combined with the after-hours positive+Hong Kong stocks and A50 futures index, there is basically no suspense for the market to open higher tomorrow.


Returning to the disk, today's market polarization is actually that hot money and institutional funds are competing for dominance, but hot money is beginning to cut high and low, and domestic institutions have a net outflow of 69 billion. After the introduction of the conference, institutions are very embarrassed. There is a high probability that the style switching trip in November will continue, but this position is definitely not suitable for direct acceleration.If you deal with it, it will open higher tomorrow, but it is suitable for high-throwing and low-sucking operation, not suitable for chasing up, remember! Everything is based on the closing price, not standing at 3489.79 points, at most it is a small high point, and it is still a low-sucking opportunity if you step back; However, if the closing price stands at 3489.79, the adjustment level and nature may change. We will talk about this at that time. Now, we just need to know that we should not chase after this position.

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